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Wei & Zhou: “Captain Gains” on Capitol Hill (NBER)

Shang-Jin Wei (Columbia Business School) & Yifan Zhou (Xi’an Jiaotong-Liverpool University) have a new National Bureau of Economics Research working paper, “‘Captain Gains’ on Capitol Hill.” Here is the abstract:

Using transaction-level data on US congressional stock trades, we find that lawmakers who later ascend to leadership positions perform similarly to matched peers beforehand but outperform them by 47 percentage points annually after ascension. Leaders’ superior performance arises through two mechanisms. The political influence channel is reflected in higher returns when their party controls the chamber, sales of stocks preceding regulatory actions, and purchase of stocks whose firms receiving more government contracts and favorable party support on bills. The corporate access channel is reflected in stock trades that predict subsequent corporate news and greater returns on donor-owned or home-state firms.

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